This weekend's UFC 226 card will be the center piece of the
organization's traditional "Fight Week," which will feature the Hall Of
Fame induction of former Women's Bantamweight champion, Ronda Rousey.
The main event is a true super fight as champions from the light
heavyweight and heavyweight divisions will clash. Stipe Miocic will
defend his title against Daniel Cormier, who competed in the HW division
previously, winning the Strike Force Grand Prix several years ago.
This
is undoubtedly the biggest fight the WME-owned promotion will promote
this year so will this event be a turning point for the company?
With
Conor McGregor still awaiting a court appearance on felon charges, Jon
Jones on the sidelines from a second failed drug test, Ronda Rousey
retired, and Brock Lesnar's status still unknown, the UFC remains low on
star power. Don't get me wrong, Robert Whittaker and Yoel Romero
delivered a classic slug fest last month, but that was a bout that
catered to the diehard fans, not the general public. Similar to any
other form of entertainment, there must be a draw for the audience to
invest in the product and right now, the UFC doesn't have multiple stars
that will motivate the public to pay $65 for a pay-per-view event more
than a few times a year.
The numbers for the group were
down across the board last year and that trend continues this year as
well. The Romero/Rockhold MW title fight in February did a reported
130,000 buys and the recent Amanda Nunes title defense drew under
100,000 buys, putting it among the lowest numbers for the company in the
past decade. When Conor McGregor fought regularly on pay-per-view, his
few bouts a year drew more buys than the rest of the shows that year
combined. This further proves that UFC brass invested too much into the
marketing strategy to shoehorn the Dublin native into title fights so
they could promote him as a double champion. Eventually, Conor took the
name value from mixed martial arts and went to boxing to get a $100
million payday to fight Floyd Mayweather. He hasn't fought in the
octagon in nearly two years and was stripped of both championships
without defending them. The result of the McGregor experiment was that
he was promoted as the top star in the organization while entire
divisions were halted, which prevented other fighters from making a name
for themselves.
Granted, the fight business is about
cash, and Conor draws money, but the structure of rankings is ultimately
how fighters gain notoriety. For example, when Francis Ngannou knocked
out Alistair Overeem with one of the most brutal KOs in the history of
the sport, it elevated his status to a title challenger for Miocic.
Sure, Stipe used his well-rounded skills and experience to defeat him in
the title bout, but the point is, Ngannou made a name for himself
because he KO'ed a notable opponent. Essentially, Conor's absence didn't
provide a goal for anyone that worked their way up the ranks in either
the 145 or 155 divisions, and at the same time, McGregor didn't add to
his accomplishments in the octagon.
With Conor's status
undecided, and Georges St. Pierre's decision to vacate the MW belt
after a one-off return last year, the credibility of certain divisions
were hindered. The recent interim title debacles didn't help the
situation either. Plus, injuries remain an aspect of the sport that
affects announced cards. But, the Max Holloway/Brian Ortega title fight
provides an opportunity to not only reestablish the belt, but also the
platform for someone to make themselves a star. With the publicity of a
champion vs. champion bout in the main event, the show will garner an
audience and thus provide a platform for those in the co-main event to
elevate their status. For Holloway, a dominate performance could finally
get him from under the shadow of McGregor in terms of the path that he
took for the belt. Ortega is mostly unknown to much of the general
audience, but brings an undefeated record (14-0) into the cage along
with a no contest from a positive test for steroids a few years ago. If
Ortega delivers an impressive performance and wins the championship,
that makes him a marketable commodity as an undefeated champion. The
point being, with the viewers Stipe/Cormier will draw, there's certainly
a valuable opportunity for a new era of the featherweight division.
As
mentioned, the main event of Stipe vs. Cormier is probably the biggest
card the UFC will promote this year and the scenario provides an
intriguing match-up. Daniel Cormier started at a later age because of
his extensive amateur wrestling career, but achieved some stellar
accomplishments, earning a record of 20-1-1 during his nine year career.
In some ways, Cormier gets overlooked or doesn't get the credit he
deserves because of the Jon Jones debacles, but make no mistake, he had
what will be considered a legendary career. While "Bones" Jones wasted
much of his talent, Cormier defeated top level competition to retain the
Light Heavyweight championship. At 39, Cormier indicated that he plans
to retire next year so a HW title victory and the double champion status
could be the biggest moment of his career.
On the flip
side, Stipe Miocic is still theoretically in the prime of his career at
35 and could eventually be known as the most successful heavyweight in
UFC history. With three successful title defenses so far, Stipe is
probably the most solidified HW champion of the past decade, and his
well-rounded skill set with an amateur wrestling background and powerful
striking allows for a style that has no obvious flaws. In many
respects, Miocic could be the dominate champion for the division that
many expected Cain Velasquez to be several years ago before a series of
injuries derailed his career. If Stipe defeated another champion at UFC
226, he might establish himself as the top star of the promotion.
As
for a winner, it's somewhat of a toss up and a prediction depends on
where the fight takes place. Stipe will have a size and reach advantage,
as well as more notable striking skills so it might be wise for Cormier
to try to close the distance and use the clinch against Miocic. The key
might be if Cormier can effectively use wrestling against the bigger
opponent, which might be difficult, considering that Stipe was able to
use take downs to defeat Ngannou, who competes near the HW limit of 265
LBS, earlier this year. Since Stipe has the physical tools and the
well-rounded skill set, I will pick Miocic to retain the belt, but
anything can happen, which makes this such an intriguing bout,
especially considering the unique champion vs. champion aspect.
This
is the only UFC pay-per-view main event since the previous Miocic title
against Ngannou in January that has a "must see" atmosphere this year.
The reasons for the lack of star power mentioned previously led to a
lack of hype around most PPVs this year. With the publicity that the
champion vs. champion bout will generate, an entertaining event could be
used as somewhat of a "reset button" for the organization to improve
the perception of the star power of the company.
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